Here's why the iPad won't last:
I'm sitting in San Jose International Airport, blogging and waiting for my flight back to Denver. Lo and behold, a more elderly (in their early 60s) couple next to me are on iPads. Both of them.
I creepily watched over their shoulder like I was trying to grab a credit card number or something. Really, I was just watching them use the iPad, see how easy it was to use, what they were using it for, etc. I'm not a total nut job.
Anyway, after about 5 minutes of it, the gentleman turns the iPad off, and pulls out a MacBook. Surfs the internet for a while, obviously doing the same as I - just wasting time.
Then he pulls out a cell phone. Not making calls on it - at least not that I noticed. But his cell is out, his laptop is on, and the iPad is off and back in the briefcase.
Which brings me to my point: the iPad doesn't replace anything. The iPhone was a huge hit because it was so influential. It is a cell phone, it's a camera. It's a digital music player, it's a video game device. It's a planner, it's a GPS. It does everything. A single iPhone replaces almost every other electronic device you need to carry.
The only thing an iPad replaces is a laptop...and even that premise is questionable. I carry my laptop because of the software I have on it...stuff the iPad can't operate. So from a business perspective - many of us already have laptops (so it doesn't necessarily make financial sense to replace with iPad), and a number of us can't really get rid of the laptop, either. For vacationers or recreational users, again, many of us already have laptops. If you don't have a laptop, well, and iPad is adding to what you would carry, not subtracting. It just doesn't make sense to me. I would never ever ever carry an cell phone, a laptop, and an iPad. Doesn't make sense. The iPad is superfluous.
Well, what if you don't have an iPhone or a laptop? Buy the iPhone. Yes, I know you have to switch to AT&T if you're not already on their network. But it makes more sense...the iPhone does everything the iPad does, plus makes phone calls, takes pictures, takes movies (3GS version), and operates as a turn-by-turn GPS nav unit.
So, I've come to the conclusion that the iPad is a luxury device for people that either enjoy taking it in the behind from Steve Jobs and have become an absolute Apple-Zombie, or just have too damn much money. It's a waste of space. It serves no real purpose. And if you have too much money; toss some my way - I can help you with your problem. I'll go buy bike parts with it.
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